| summary | Capacity Management - Forecasting What is it? The Capacity Forecast provides accurate and statistically valid ampacity and conductor temperature forecasts. This allows the operator to utilize the capacity of their grid safely and efficiently. By leveraging forecasts the operation can become more proactive and mitigate contingency situations, even before they occur.The Capacity forecast can be viewed by activating the forecasting toggle on the Capacity page. It is designed to provide the operator with the means to make operational decisions for monitored power lines. How to use By setting the desired confidence interval and forecasting period, the user can easilyMonitor the line's statistically valid ampacity Forecast power line capacity up to 48 hours ahead Simulate the future conductor temperature with different line loadsManage contingencies and avoid redispatching of powerConduct intraday and day-ahead operational planningBy operating with respect to the forecasted value for the whole line, the operator can use the power line to the maximum capacity without overloading any of the critical spans. The forecasted ampacity will also take into account any dimensioning downstream components registered by the user through the Transmission Chain Rating, and thereby be valid for the transmission as a whole. When planning a disconnection of a power line, the forecasting feature can be used to investigate if a given power line has the available capacity to transmit the disconnected line's load. Therefore, the forecasting feature can be an important tool in contingency situations, offering powerful insight. The line forecast page offers five separate methods for rating forecast: DLR (Neuron)DLR CIGRE (Weather-based)DLR IEEE (Weather-based) DLR CIGRE Capped (Weather-based)AAR (Weather-based) Contents Top Bar In the top-bar, assumptions for the forecasts can be adjusted. Here, the user can change which DLR model that is viewed, which confidence interval the forecast should have, and what the expected load used to simulate the future wire temperature is. Forecasting Plot The forecasting plot contains recent observations about line loading, DLR, and temperature, together with forecasted line capacity and temperature values for the selected time interval. Meteogram The meteogram contains recent weather observations and forecasted values for the selected time interval for the following parameters. :Ambient temperature (°C)Precipitation (mm)Wind speed (m/s)Wind direction DLR Cards Forecast cards shows the short-term forecasted DLR. It shows the first six hours of forecasted values. The Forecast cards has a color-coding; where Green means that it’s above the SLR, Gray means it’s the same as the SLR, and Red means it’s below the SLR.The Emergency rating is also viewed on the left hand side, and the Intra-Hour DLR is also viewed with the same color-coding as for the forecasted cards. |
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